Difference between revisions of "1130: Poll Watching"

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| title    = Poll Watching
 
| title    = Poll Watching
 
| image    = poll_watching.png
 
| image    = poll_watching.png
| imagesize =
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| titletext = The choices we make Tuesday could have MASSIVE and PERMANENT effects on the charts on Nate Silver's blog!
| titletext = The choices we make Tuesday could have MASSIVE and PERMANENT effects on the charts on Nate Silver's blog!
 
 
}}
 
}}
  
 
==Explanation==
 
==Explanation==
This comic is another commentary on the [[United States presidential election, 2012|2012 U.S. presidential election]] (as [[1122: Electoral Precedent]] and, to an extent, [[1127: Congress]] also were references to), as it was posted the day before the election.
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This is a comic about the {{w|United States presidential election, 2012|2012 U.S. presidential election}}, as it was posted the day before the election on November 6, 2012 ("this Tuesday"). It is the third comic on the subject, the previous two being [[1122: Electoral Precedent]] and [[1127: Congress]].
  
In the comic, [[Cueball]] is glued to his laptop reading media coverage of the election. The offscreen character's comic that Cueball should take a break suggests that Cueball has been reading media coverage for quite a while.
+
In the comic, [[Cueball]] is glued to his laptop reading media coverage of the election. The offscreen character remarks that Cueball should take a break, suggesting that Cueball has been reading media coverage for quite a while.
  
Cueball is so caught up in media coverage, that he is speculating on the effect that incumbant President {{w|Barak Obama|Obama}} winning the election (and the resulting news coverage) could have on challenger {{w|Mitt Romney}}'s campaign. The joke is that the end-goal of Romney's campaign is to win the election. If Obama wins, the campaigning is already over, regardless of media coverage. Cueball is simply so invested that he is over-analyzing potential scenarios.
+
Cueball is so caught up in media coverage that he is speculating on the effect that incumbent President {{w|Barak Obama|Obama}} winning the election (and the resulting news coverage) could have on challenger {{w|Mitt Romney}}'s campaign. The joke is that the end-goal of Romney's campaign is to win the election. If Obama wins, the campaigning is already over, regardless of media coverage. Cueball is simply so invested that he overanalyzes potential scenarios and fails to see the big picture.
  
In respect to the title text, {{w|Nate Silver}} is an American statistician, {{w|psephologist}}, and writer (among other things not-relevant to this comic). He has a political blog called {{w|FiveThirtyEight}} which was originally written under a pseudonym. The Blog and its associated website primarily discuss tracking polls in respect of elections. Thus, the choices made on Tuesday (election day) presumably ''will'' have massive and permanent effects on FiveThirtyEight's charts, which will obviously change to reflect the actual votes cast. This is a parody of the bold statements often made during campaigns, such as that the choices made on election day could have massive and permanent effects on such things as your health care, the economy, your job, etc.
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Specifically, he has become so concerned with following the polls that he's lost sight of their purpose as a predictive tool. After the election is over, polling becomes trivial since the result they are intended to forecast is already known (and so in reality will not be conducted at all). This is likely intended as a rebuke to those pundits who seemingly care more about (or whose jobs are contingent on caring more about) the "game" of analyzing and predicting the politics of the race than the actual policies the candidates are likely to pursue after coming into office.
 +
 
 +
The title text repeats this theme with {{w|Nate Silver}}, an American statistician, {{w|psephologist}}, and writer (among other things). He has a political blog called {{w|FiveThirtyEight}} which was originally written under a pseudonym. The Blog and its associated website primarily discuss tracking polls in respect to elections. Thus, the choices made on Tuesday (election day) ''will'' have massive and permanent effects on FiveThirtyEight's charts, which will obviously change to reflect the actual votes cast - but all the charts will have become trivial since the purpose of the blog is to predict the results. This is a parody of the bold statements often made during campaigns, such as that the choices made on election day could have massive and permanent effects on such things as your health care, the economy, your job, etc.
  
 
==Transcript==
 
==Transcript==
 
:[Cueball kneels on his desk chair, hunched over a laptop]
 
:[Cueball kneels on his desk chair, hunched over a laptop]
 
:Cueball: This Tuesday will be huge!
 
:Cueball: This Tuesday will be huge!
:Cueball: If Obama wins the election, it could generate news coverage ''devistating'' to Romney's position in the tracking polls!
+
:Cueball: If Obama wins the election, it could generate news coverage ''devastating'' to Romney's position in the tracking polls!
 
:Offscreen character: ... Maybe you should take a break.
 
:Offscreen character: ... Maybe you should take a break.
  
{{comic discussion}}  
+
{{comic discussion}}
 
[[Category:Comics featuring Cueball]]
 
[[Category:Comics featuring Cueball]]
 
[[Category:Politics]]
 
[[Category:Politics]]

Revision as of 15:18, 11 April 2014

Poll Watching
The choices we make Tuesday could have MASSIVE and PERMANENT effects on the charts on Nate Silver's blog!
Title text: The choices we make Tuesday could have MASSIVE and PERMANENT effects on the charts on Nate Silver's blog!

Explanation

This is a comic about the 2012 U.S. presidential election, as it was posted the day before the election on November 6, 2012 ("this Tuesday"). It is the third comic on the subject, the previous two being 1122: Electoral Precedent and 1127: Congress.

In the comic, Cueball is glued to his laptop reading media coverage of the election. The offscreen character remarks that Cueball should take a break, suggesting that Cueball has been reading media coverage for quite a while.

Cueball is so caught up in media coverage that he is speculating on the effect that incumbent President Obama winning the election (and the resulting news coverage) could have on challenger Mitt Romney's campaign. The joke is that the end-goal of Romney's campaign is to win the election. If Obama wins, the campaigning is already over, regardless of media coverage. Cueball is simply so invested that he overanalyzes potential scenarios and fails to see the big picture.

Specifically, he has become so concerned with following the polls that he's lost sight of their purpose as a predictive tool. After the election is over, polling becomes trivial since the result they are intended to forecast is already known (and so in reality will not be conducted at all). This is likely intended as a rebuke to those pundits who seemingly care more about (or whose jobs are contingent on caring more about) the "game" of analyzing and predicting the politics of the race than the actual policies the candidates are likely to pursue after coming into office.

The title text repeats this theme with Nate Silver, an American statistician, psephologist, and writer (among other things). He has a political blog called FiveThirtyEight which was originally written under a pseudonym. The Blog and its associated website primarily discuss tracking polls in respect to elections. Thus, the choices made on Tuesday (election day) will have massive and permanent effects on FiveThirtyEight's charts, which will obviously change to reflect the actual votes cast - but all the charts will have become trivial since the purpose of the blog is to predict the results. This is a parody of the bold statements often made during campaigns, such as that the choices made on election day could have massive and permanent effects on such things as your health care, the economy, your job, etc.

Transcript

[Cueball kneels on his desk chair, hunched over a laptop]
Cueball: This Tuesday will be huge!
Cueball: If Obama wins the election, it could generate news coverage devastating to Romney's position in the tracking polls!
Offscreen character: ... Maybe you should take a break.


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Discussion

The "failing to see big picture" probably parodies someone too. -- Hkmaly (talk) 08:49, 7 November 2012 (UTC)

Hope I'm doing this right - anyway, maybe I'm misreading this entry, but I think the whole point of this comic is that he has his cause and effect priorities completely reversed - he's more concerned about how the outcome of the election will affect the tracking polls and that entire process rather than, as with most people, merely using tracking polls to predict the election results. -- Greg

You're quite right, and I'll add a paragraph to that effect. - jerodast (talk) 15:35, 3 December 2012 (UTC)

Ironically, in 2016, the Tuesday results did not actually affect the FiveThirtyEight forecast - it still shows up as 71.4% Clinton today. --172.68.11.39 08:46, 11 November 2016 (UTC)

...Then there was the 2020 US election, rendering this comic more prophetic and disturbing than it should be... 162.158.6.128 00:58, 6 January 2021 (UTC)