314: Dating Pools
Title text: The full analysis is of course much more complicated, but I can't stay to talk about it because I have a date.
Megan is upset because she is apparently older than 26, so more than half of people her age have gotten married. Cueball reassures her using the Half Plus Seven Rule combined with Census Bureau data to show that her eligible dating pool is still increasing.
Megan notes that graph-making nerds like Cueball may have a hard time finding dates, but this is belied by the title text.
- [Megan is sitting on the ground with her elbows on her knees and her hands on her chin.]
- Megan: This sucks. The median first marriage age is 26. The pools of singles is shrinking. I'm running out of time.
- Cueball: Actually, not quite.
- Cueball: Yes, older singles are rarer. But as you get older, the dateable age range gets wider. An 18-year-old's range is 16-22, whereas a 30-year-old's might be more like 22-46.
- Text on chart: Standard creepiness rule: Don't date under (Age/2 + 7)
- Cueball: I did some analysis of this with the Census Bureau numbers just last weekend. Your dating pool actually GROWS until middle age. So don't fret so much!
- [The first chart is labelled Singles, and is a decreasing graph. The second graph is labelled Dating Pool, and is a bell curve.]
- Megan: Did you analysis say anything about the dating prospects of people who spend weekends at home making graphs?
- Cueball: Come on. Somewhere at the edge of the bell curve is the girl for me.