887: Future Timeline

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Future Timeline
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Not shown: the approximately 30,000 identical, vaguely hysterical articles titled "WHITE PEOPLE IN [THE US/BRITAIN] TO BECOME MINORITY BY [YEAR]!", which came up for basically any year I put in.
Title text: Not shown: the approximately 30,000 identical, vaguely hysterical articles titled "WHITE PEOPLE IN [THE US/BRITAIN] TO BECOME MINORITY BY [YEAR]!", which came up for basically any year I put in.

[edit] Explanation

Ambox notice.png This explanation may be incomplete or incorrect: Predictions table needs filling out.
If you can address this issue, please edit the page! Thanks.

This comic uses the same strategy as comic 715: Numbers, in which Randall uses Google to search for phrases and then charts the results. This one is charted as a timeline, whereas 715 was charted as line graphs. It is a list of things predicted or announced by anyone at any time (the ones you see on Google search using "by the year..." or similar statements.

"2101 - War Was Beginning" is a reference to the opening narration of video game Zero Wing; the same narration is famous for the internet meme "All your base are belong to us". As there are not any other out and out references in the comic, and the rest are actually results that you can find using Randall's methods (though "War Was Beginning" most likely came up when he googled 2101 as well).

Certain events in this comic, e.g. "Social Security stops running surplus", are repeated multiple times. Also, certain bizarre events, like "Apocalypse occurs", or "Flying cars reach market", happen before rather plausible things, like "HTML 5 Finished". Certain events, like "Japan is a robot-only country" or "Gillette introduces 14-blade razor" may be related to the recurring theme 605: Extrapolating.

The title text is born of a recurring "white people panic" situation; scaremongers will predict white minority in the very near future in order to get the panicked racist people to pay attention to them (without actually using valid or accepted scientific measurements to back up these claims- panicked racist people don't exactly fact-check very much), while level-headed sociologists will usually come up with more distant, if not nonexistent, dates from their extrapolations.

This comic has similar features to 1413: Suddenly Popular, 1093: Forget, and 891: Movie Ages.

[edit] Accuracy

[edit] 2012-2014

The only predictions for this period that came true are that the world population has surpassed 7 billion and that US combat troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan. Canada formally withdrew from the Kyoto protocol in December 2011, and its emissions in 2012 were 18% above 1990 levels (though its population had grown 26% and its GDP had grown 67% in that period). Sadly, homelessness is still a problem in Massachusetts. The prediction about GNU/Linux operating systems remains false; although Android (which is built on the Linux kernel) constitutes nearly 50% of the mobile OS market, it is not GNU/Linux, which remains an extreme minority on consumer devices. And so far as we're aware, the apocalypse has yet to occur.

[edit] 2015-2016

New Horizons is to make its closest approach to Pluto in July of 2015.[1] It was never intended to land on Pluto.

Android OS' market share was already 84.4% as of the third quarter of 2014, showing that both estimates were overly conservative.[2] Windows Phone continued to have less than 30% of iOS' market share.

[edit] The predictions

Year Prediction Further Details
2012 World population Ever since the advent of modern medicine and the more efficient agricultural processes developed suit the Industrial Revolution, the human population had been growing at an unprecedented rate. This has caused some people to worry about overpopulation, which would cause a scarcity of resources and overcrowding, and propose various solutions, most of which involve some form of eugenics. 7 billion is a landmark number because it is a multiple of 1 billion.
Flying cars For decades, flying cars have been a staple of futuristic sci-fi and technological predictions. So far none of these predictions, which to tend to hover around 5–10 years from whatever the current date is, have come true.
Canada cuts greenhouse emissions Currently, the Earth is experiencing an unprecedented period of warming we call global warming, caused in part by greenhouse emissions, which are gases that help trap heat in the atmosphere. Countries have repeatedly gotten together and promised to stop emitting greenhouse gases, but so far they have failed to meet their targets. Canada withdrew
Apocalypse occurs The end of a cycle of the Mayan calendar on December 22, 2012 has been used in popular culture as a basis for predicting the end of the world. Amongst other things, this included the film '2012'. Some people took this rather more seriously, and actually believed that the world would end on this date. It didn't.[citation needed]
2013 National debt paid off For years, the subject of national debt has been a political point of contention, with the Republicans typically favoring paying it all off, and the Democrats more willing to spend to pull the country out of recessions in the economy. Clinton, a Democrat, at one point proposed paying off the debt by 2015.
Microchipping Americans Microchips are small computer chips, typically embedded in pets in case they get lost, that contain information about the pet. Some, more irrational, people worry about the government microchipping everyone in an effort to monitor their activities.
Homelessness ended in MA In 2008, the Commission To End Homelessness in Massachusetts, under Governor Deval Patrick, proposed a plan to all but eliminate homelessness over the next five years (hence the 2013 end-date on the comic).
Health care reform law repealed A health care reform law, popularly known as Obamacare, was signed into law in 2010. Ever since, many Republicans have tried (in vain) to repeal it, disliking the idea that government should provide and require healthcare.
2014 US leaves Afghanistan After the terrorist attack on the Twin Towers in New York City on September 11, 2001, the United States invaded Afghanistan, which at the time allegedly hosted the headquarters of al-Qaeda, the terrorist organization behind the attacks. The war has gone on since then, with the public growing increasingly tired of it. Public support now favors a withdrawal, but for military and logistical reasons, the government cannot simply move all the troops currently in Afghanistan home right now. For one, that would cause immediate chaos in the country. Therefore, the government instead promises to eventually withdraw all troops, planning on doing so by the end of 2014.
GNU/Linux dominant OS An operating system, or OS, is the software that forms the structure in which applications on you computer function. Some typical OSs include Mac OSX, Windows 8, and Linux. The first two of those three are commercial products, sold as a copy by a company. The last is an open-source OS, one that anyone can download and modify free. Typically, open-source software is used by a small number of socially conscious people. It is therefore unrealistic to predict that it will become mainstream in the near future.
2015 New Horizon reaches Pluto The New Horizon spacecraft is a U.S. space mission designed to go to Pluto and take photographs, collect samples, etc. It is scheduled to reach Pluto in 2015.
Healthcare law causes hyperinflation The National Inflation Association warns that the Healthcare Bill to Cause U.S. Hyperinflation By 2015
Millennium development goals achieved Millennium Development Goals
2016 Baby boomers begin turning 65 Baby boomers are individuals conceived in the years following World War Two, roughly defined as those born from 1946-1959. This isn't so much a prediction as basic math; if you were born in 1946, you turned 65 in 2011.
Android takes 38%/45% of market share Android is a popular operating system for smartphones and tablets, created by Google. Market share is the percentage of all devices that use the product, in this case the Android operating system. These entries together are humorous because they cannot both happen at the same time.
Windows phone overtakes iOS iOS is the operating system used by Apple iPhones. At the time of the comic, Apple's mobile OS is much more popular than Microsoft's. The article Randall found predicts that the tables will turn.
2017 China completes lunar mission The Chinese space program has plans for extraterrestrial exploration, including a manned mission to the moon.
Social Security stops running surplus The first of many predictions about the United States Social Security trust fund program, all predicting its decline due to a variety of factors.
US budget balanced The United States federal budget outlines how much the US government spends on what in a given fiscal year. The budget is not required to be balanced, and so often more money is spent than is earned in revenue, causing the national debt to rise.
Newspapers become obsolete and die out The increasing popularity of internet media and mobile devices has caused a steady decline in the popularity of print media.
Cosmetic surgery doubles Cosmetic Surgery
2018 Social Security stops running surplus Social Security
Jesus returns to Earth A number of Christians have attempted to predict the return of Christ (a.k.a. the second coming, the rapture) using clues from The Bible, even though the Bible itself says that "no man can know the date". Several predicted dates have come and gone.
2019 Social Security stops running surplus Social Security
Every baby has genes mapped at birth Gene Mapping
2020 Solar power becomes cheaper than fossil fuels Scientists estimate that more than half of the fossil fuels in existance have already been found and that fossil fuel production will begin to decline due to the scarcity, causing prices to increase. At the same time, improvements in solar technology are causing the prices for solar energy to steadily decrease.
Keyboards and mice become obsolete Computer input device are beginning to adopt other methods of input, such as voice commands, touch screens, and eye tracking. While the use of touch screens in particular is gaining widespread use, as of 2014 none has come close to making keyboards and mice obsolete. None of them allows text input as fast as a keyboard, and none is suitable for writing program code.
New Tappan Zee bridge constructed A replacement bridge was anounced in 2008 and is expected to be completed in 2018.
2021 US debt reaches 97% of GDP US Debt
US unemployment falls to 2.8% Unemployment in the United States
Restored caliphate unifies Middle East A caliphate is a form of Islamic political-religious leadership, centred around a Caliph, or successor to the prophet Muhammad. This may be foreshadowing of the Islamic State of Iraq and greater Syria, which has as its goal the creation of a restored caliphate.
Lake Mead evaporates Formed by the Hoover Dam on the Colorado River, Lake Mead is the largest reservoir in the United States (measured by maximum capacity). It hasn't reached its capacity since 1983, due to drought and increased demand for water. This could be linked to global warming.
2022 Kilimanjaro snow-free At 5,895 metres, Kilimanjaro is the highest mountain in Africa, and the highest free-standing mountain in the world. Around 85% of its ice cover disappeared between 1912 and 2011, and it continues to recede.
HTML 5 finished HTML 5
Newspapers become obsolete and die out This is the second time this prediction has appeared.
2023 Jesus returns to Earth (again) A number of Christians have attempted to predict the return of Christ (a.k.a. the second coming, the rapture) using clues from The Bible, even though the Bible itself says that "no man can know the date". Several predicted dates have come and gone.
US debt passes 100% of GDP This references the common fear that US Debt will exceed GDP, possibly causing economic turmoil.
All unprotected ancient forests gone from Pacific Northwest Likely due to a combination of wildfire and deforestation
2024 Atlantis begins to reappear Atlantis is the name of a fictional[citation needed] island, which is supposed to have been lost beneath the sea.
Orangutans extinct in wild Orangutans are a species of great ape, currently classed as an endangered species, and found only in the rainforests of Borneo and Sumatra.
China lands men and women on the moon The Chinese space program has plans for extraterrestrial exploration, including a manned mission to the moon.
NASA sets up permanent moon base There is a a lot of hype recently about finally returning to the moon, vis-a-vis Orion.
Female professionals pass males in pay There are two possible explanations for this entry: Either it's fear-mongering from misogynists or, more probably, an erroneous extrapolation from the current rate at which female incomes are catching up to male incomes.
2025 World population reaches 8 billion Given current rates, it seems unlikely it will take this long to hit 8 billion, but advances in birth control options and especially their availability in developing nations may slow the current rate considerably.
Two billion people face water shortages http://english.pravda.ru/science/earth/28-01-2008/103693-water_crisis-0/
62 MPG cars introduced Miles per gallon. 62 MPG is a very good mileage rate at today's standard.
US power fades http://www.cbsnews.com/news/report-us-power-will-fade-by-2025/
2026 Atlantis emerges completely Atlantis is the name of a fictional[citation needed] island, which is supposed to have been lost beneath the sea. It seems that it has taken 2 years for it to emerge completely.
Rock Bands die out https://bestbands.wordpress.com/2009/01/25/rock-bands-to-die-out-by-2026/
US debt paid off US Debt
Car accidents cease Presumably, cars will be fully automated and able to pilot themselves at this point and will have fail-safes that prevent collisions currently attributed to user error. Car accidents will always be possible, however, due to mechanical and electrical failures.
West coast falls into ocean Most likely due to a significant seismic event
2027 Japan introduces new fastest Maglev train Japan's railway systems are famous for their "bullet trains", or Shinkansen.
Lyndon Larouche-planned Mars colony is established http://totse.mattfast1.com/en/technology/space_astronomy_nasa/moonmars.html
Social Security stops running surplus Social Security
2028 Tobacco outlawed Tobacco products (cigarettes and chewing tobacco) have become more and more taboo in modern culture, with most public places and private businesses forbidding their use indoors and near places children congregate.
40% of coral reefs gone Many factors have been attributed to the decline of coral reefs, including mining, over fishing, and rising ocean tempteratures.
US debt paid off US Debt nytimes.com It’s 2026, and the Debt Is Due By N. GREGORY MANKIW
Social Security stops running surplus Social Security
2029 Social Security trust fund exhausted Social Security
Computers pass the Turing test Computers already clear the Turing Test about 30% of the time. Also, it is no coincidence that 2029 is the timeline for Terminator Movies.
Aging reversed Manhattan Beach Project to reverse aging by 2029
Wikipedia reaches 30 Million articles As of 00:00, 5 January 2015 (UTC), Wikipedia has over 34 million total articles, if all languages are included. Randall may have meant the English language Wikipedia, which has only 4.686 million articles, as of 00:00, 5 January 2015 (UTC).
2030 Half of Amazon rain forest lost to logging WWF press release - Climate Change Speeds Up Amazon’s Destruction referring to a report on the Amazon's vicious cycles (PDF)
Cancer deaths double from 2008 levels From the Global Cancer Burden to Nearly Double by 2030 article about the article from page 37 of Global Cancer Facts & Figures 2nd edition.
Arctic ice-free in summer http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/10/091015-arctic-ice-free-gone-video-ap.html
2031 Computers controlled by thought http://www.gizmag.com/future-mobile-technology/17554/
Realtors replaced by technology http://agbeat.com/editorials/will-realtors-be-replaced-by-technology-by-the-year-2031/
Social Security trust fund exhausted http://crfb.org/blogs/cbo-95-percent-confident-social-security-trust-fund-runs-out-25-years
2032 "Big One" hits San Francisco http://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/Quake-scientists-predict-Big-One-likely-by-2032-2653745.php San Franscisco is located on the San Andreas Fault, which is predicted to produce a magnitude 7+ earthquake in the 'near future'. This event is referred to as "The Big One".
US elects first married lesbian President http://4chandata.org/g/In-what-major-ways-do-you-think-the-world-of-2032-will-be-different-from-that-of-today-a20155
Entire world converted to Christianity http://www.goddiscussion.com/38920/christian-domininionsts-to-take-over-the-world-by-2032/
2033 Kilimanjaro ice disappears http://www.reuters.com/article/2009/11/02/idUSL2210825
India becomes superpower https://www.facebook.com/pages/India-A-SuperPower-by-2033/151177191568098 ?
Europe reaches Mars http://www.spacedaily.com/news/esa-general-03zb.html
2034 US diabetes cases double, treatment costs triple U.S. diabetes cases to double, costs triple by 2034
US builds autonomous robot army Unmanned Systems article, about the 2009-2034 Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap publication (details at Amazon)
2035 80% of America's energy comes from renewable sources From fact sheet on Obama's State of the Union
Himalayan glaciers down 80% in size From an IPCC report on The Himalayan glaciers that has been analysed in quite some depth. See for example detailed article on an anatomy of IPCC’s mistake.
Arctic sea lane opens Arctic sea lane could open by 2035
2036 80% of US has access to high-speed rail Obama: 80 Percent of Americans Should Have Access to High Speed Rail By 2036
Asteroid Apophis misses/hits Earth http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/apophis/ http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/apophis/ 99942 Apophis is a near-Earth asteroid that caused a brief period of concern in December 2004 because initial observations indicated a probability of up to 2.7% that it would hit Earth on April 13, 2029.
2037 Arctic ice-free in September Arctic sea ice decline
Social Security trust fund exhausted Social Security
2038 32-bit timestamps roll over, causing Y2K-level chaos 03:14:07 UTC on 19 January 2038, the value of time_t rolls over, that is it will return to zero. time_t is the computing standard measurement of time, it is a count of the number of seconds since 00:00:00 UTC on 1 January 1970. time_t us used by most computer systems to store date and time information. It is recommended that new software should convert to a 64 bit time_t, indeed most operating systems designed to run on 64-bit hardware already use signed 64-bit time_t integers. This would give an epoch of 15:30:08 UTC on 4 December 292,277,026,596 (292 billion years away). Of course, legacy systems may not be upgradable so action taken now should prevent this becoming a problem closer to 2038...
"Big One" hits California `The big one' likely to hit by 2038
2039 US population hits 400 Million U.S. Population Projected to Hit 400 Million in 2039
Severe heat waves become commonplace Heat waves and extremely high temperatures could be commonplace in the U.S. by 2039, Stanford study finds
Scientology becomes majority religion in US Essay: Scientology in the year 2039
2040 Arctic summers ice-free Arctic Summer Could be Ice-Free by 2040
Nanotechnology makes humans immortal Nanotech could make humans immortal by 2040, futurist says
2041 Social Security trust fund exhausted Social Security
2043 World population passes 9 Billion Population growth
2044 Mankind genetically engineered to be happy Premise of the movie Zenith - further details are in the film review for Zenith
Childhood obesity reaches 100% 100-Percent Childhood Obesity Predicted by 2044
2045 Humans and machines merge Ray Kurzweil predicts of 'singularity' which will lead to race of super intelligent beings
2046 World's natural resources depleted Peak uncertainty, when will we run out of fossil fuels?
2047 World ruled by banks and corporations Future Schlock - the story of a world turned upside down in 2047
Tobacco industry fails Experts: Big Tobacco dead by 2047, possibly sooner
US begins using autonomous attack drones US Air Force prepares drones to end era of fighter pilots
2048 Salt-water fish extinct from overfishing WWF report on Unsustainable fishing
Unisex bathing suits cover body from shoulder to ankle RyansWorld: Bathing Suits of the Future
Entire US population overweight Article archive - Scientists Say Thin People Face Extinction in United States: Everyone Will Be Overweight by 2048 – And Less Smart
2049 $1.000 computer exceeds computational ability of humanity TechNotes: Trends in Technology
Singularity occurs The Singularity Is Near
Fishing industry collapses This tends to happen when your food-stock is extinct - see WWF report on Unsustainable fishing
2050 80% of Earth's population lives in urban centers 80% of world population will soon be in urban areas
China controls space [1]
Sex with robots possible Forecast: Sex and Marriage with Robots by 2050
Cars banned from European cities EU to ban cars from cities by 2050
One million species extinct from climate change By 2050 Warming to Doom Million Species, Study Says
2051 Atmosphere escapes into space conspiracy theory relating to Fallstreak hole or hole punch clouds.
2052 Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security spending exceed total US revenue Social Security
2053 US budget balanced OMB releases long-term projections for the FY2015 budget proposal
Majority of Americans in prison 'Beyond Bricks And Bars' As Jails Overflow, The Lock-'em-up Credo Is Drawing Unlikely Criticism - From Prison Officials Themselves
Cars driven by dogs This has already occured!
2054 Hunger becomes unimaginable global problem Hunger Could Be 'Unimaginable' Global Problem By 2054
2055 Atmospheric CO2 doubled Carbon Mitigation Initiative: Stabilization Wedges
Oil runs out Peak uncertainty, when will we run out of fossil fuels?
Copper, tin, lead, gold, and nickel all exhausted 5 Valuable Metals That Could Vanish by 2055
2056 RFID-tagged driverless cars RFID-tagged driverless cars on roads by 2056
Robots given same rights as humans Robots Given Same Rights As Humans By 2056
2057 150 Japanese settlers on Mars Will Japan colonize Mars?
Colorado River runs dry Colorado River Reservoirs Could Bottom Out From Warming
2058 Smoking ends in New Zealand Smoking to die out in NZ by 2058
2059 Humans have domesticated robots Virtual necking, demography, and robots
2060 Human race lives in peace ARAS vision/mission
Extreme droughts across much of Earth Extreme drought across most of Earth by 2060
Global temperature rise reaches 4 °C Avoiding dangerous climate change
Oil runs out again Oil may run out by 2060: HSBC
2061 Halley's comet returns Halley's comet returns to the inner solar system (the vicinity of earth and the sun) every 75.3 years. The last time it was near earth was in 1985-1986. When it next returns, its closest approach to the sun will occur on 28 July 2061.[3]
2062 Uganda hosts World Cup Uganda to host world cup in 2062
The Jetsons The Jetsons was an animated science fiction sitcom that first aired in 1962. The show took place in the year 2062.
2063 First human clones reach adulthood The Fall - Last Days of Gaia Diary #2
Population of Moon reaches 100,000 Reading Eagle newspaper article from July 17, 1963 - Moon Population of 100,000 Is Predicted for 2063 and Air Force Predictions for 2063 (1963)
Population of Mars reaches 10,000 Air Force Predictions for 2063 (1963)
Spacecraft exceed speed of light Physics as currently understood states that it is impossible to exceed the speed of light. A monumental shift in our physics would have had to have occurred for this to come true. This is a reference to the 8th Star Trek feature Film: "Star Trek: First Contact" where Zefram Cochrane performs the first human Warp Flight on April 5, 2063.
2064 Clean Air Act finishes reducing haze in national parks to natural levels State plan guarantees a hazy future for Texas’ wilderness areas
2065 Last coral reefs die out From an article about a video called Reefs on the Edge set in 2065 where a 15-year-old girl tells her grandfather's stories of corel reefs, and their demise.
Chernobyl cleanup complete Chernobyl clean in 55 years time?
2066 Cyprus achieves its goal This is from some forum posts on the decendants of Cypriots that lends support to the autonomy of Cyprus from Greek or Turkey.
2067 Americans live in domed cities and watch 3D TV The article at Artifact of the Month: Slide rule, 1916 includes information from the International Slide Rule Museum that "in 1967, Keuffel & Esser Co. commissioned a study of the future, predicting that Americans in 2067 would live in domed cities and watch 3D television."
Redheads go extinct Are redheads going extinct?
2068 Ozone hole over Antarctic finishes recovering NASA Study Finds Clock Ticking Slower On Ozone Hole Recovery
The Resurrections -- What Really Happens The Resurrections -- What Really Happens
Entire world population gay due to chemicals in the water Alex Jones talks about chemicals that make people gay
2069 Public masturbation legalized It's still not okay to Pull Your Penis out in Public
2070 World population peaks Global population to peak in 2070
City-scale flooding disasters City-scale flooding disasters predicted by 2070
60% of world's energy comes from renewable sources What Is Alternative Energy All About?
2071 Europe's temperatures rise by 3 °C Projection of Economic impacts of climate change in Sectors of the European Union based on bottom-up Analysis
World summer temperatures rise by 5 °C
2072 US retirement age is set to 75
2073 Oceans do not rise one foot
2074 Number of 100-year-olds reaches one million UK to have 1 million centenarians by 2074
Supertyphoons hit Japan Super typhoons in store as seas warm
2075 US retirement age set to 69 Retirement age at 69? Deficit plan hits Social Security
2076 Average scientific paper has more than 24 authors Multiple Authorship in Biochemistry and Other Fields (PDF)
Social Security trust fund exhausted Social Security
2078 Newspapers become obsolete and die out The same prediction was made for 2017 and 2022. Even when most prognosticators agree that something will happen, there can still be much disagreement about when it will happen.
2079 US debt reaches 716% of GDP US Debt
Lodgepole pines disappear from Northwest Climate change causing demise of lodgepole pine in western North America
Floods commonplace Floods To Become Commonplace By 2080
Religion marginalized
2080 Federal spending reaches 70% of GDP [2] (PDF)
UK population doubles Britain's population to hit 110 million
2082 World population declines to one billion Population: The Elephant in the Room
2084 Robot policemen introduced Robotic cops set to stamp out crime by 2084
2085 US deficit reaches 62% of GDP Paul Krugman Throws In Towel, Says We’re Headed For Another Depression
2088 Japan becomes all-robot country Japan To Become All Robot Country By 2088
2089 World halts fossil fuel use Fossil Fuels
2090 Global warming hits 7 °C Models warn of 7C dangerous climate change by 2090
Global warming hits 4 °C Summarized here. In reference to Andy Bowers, “Analysis: Scientists say global warming could affect California's drinking water supply,” NPR All Things Considered, June 22, 2001
2100 Global warming around 5-7 °C Hadley Center study warns of ‘catastrophic’ 5-7°C warming by 2100 on current emissions path
Sea levels have risen by a meter or more Future sea level
Joshua trees nearly extinct Joshua Trees Nearly Wiped Out by 2100?
Earth's climate resembles that of the Cretaceous Atmospheric CO2 concentrations during ancient greenhouse climates were similar to those predicted for A.D. 2100
Germany tropical Climate Change Predictions: A Tropical Germany by 2100?
Emperor penguins extinct Emperor penguins face extinction
Arctic permafrost thaws Surface Permafrost Could Disappear by 2100
Rising seas flood coastal cities Rising Seas Will Affect Major U.S. Coastal Cities by 2100
Rain forests mostly gone due to climatic shifts Massive Loss of Rainforest Species by 2100
All coral reefs gone Coral Reefs Gone by 2100?
Gillette introduces 14-bladed razor Each iteration of the Gillette line of safety razors has one more blade than the previous one. MadTV has also parodied this. Over five years before MadTV did so, the Australian comedy group the D-Generation parodied the first two-bladed razor as the Gillette 3000 with 16 blades.
2101 WAR WAS BEGINNING References Zero Wing, a 1981 Japanese computer game set in 2101, famous for poorly translated English and the source for "All your base are belong to us".
  1. http://pluto.jhuapl.edu/news_center/news/20140715.php
  2. http://www.idc.com/prodserv/smartphone-os-market-share.jsp
  3. Donald K. Yeomans. "Horizon Online Ephemeris System". California Institute of Technology, Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Retrieved 8 September 2006.

[edit] Transcript

THE FUTURE
According to Google search results
Events for each year determined by the first page of Google search results for the phrases:
"By <year>" "In year"
"By the year <year>" "In the year <year>"
"Will * by the year <year>" "Will * in the year <year>"
"In <year>, * will" "By <year>, * will"
2012 World population reaches 7 billion
Flying cars reach market
Canada cuts greenhouse emissions to 6% below 1990 levels as per Kyoto
Apocalypse occurs
2013 National debt paid off through President Clinton's plans
Microchipping of all Americans begins
Homelessness ended in Massachusetts
Health care reform law repealed
2014 US leaves Afghanistan
GNU/Linux becomes dominant OS
2015 New Horizons reaches Pluto
Health care law causes hyperinflation
192 UN member nations achieve millennium development goals:
  • Extreme poverty and hunger eradicated
  • Universal primary education implemented
  • Women empowered, gender equality reached
  • Environmental stability ensured
2016 Baby boomers begin turning 65
Android takes 38% of the smartphone market
Android takes 45% of the smartphone market
Windows Phone overtakes iOS in smartphones
2017 China completes unmanned Lunar sample-return mission
Social Security stops running surplus
US budget balanced
Newspapers become obsolete and die out
Cosmetic surgery doubles
2018 Social Security stops running surplus
Jesus returns to Earth
2019 Social Security stops running surplus
Every baby has genes mapped at birth
2020 Solar power becomes cheaper than fossil fuels
Keyboards and mice become obsolete
New Tappan Zee bridge constructed
2021 US debt reaches 97% of GDP
US unemployment falls to 2.8%
Restored caliphate unifies Middle East
Lake Mead evaporates
2022 Kilimanjaro snow-free
HTML 5 finished
Newspapers become obsolete and die out
2023 Jesus returns to Earth (again)
US debt passes 100% of GDP
All unprotected ancient forests gone from Pacific Northwest
2024 Atlantis begins to reappear
Orangutans extinct in wild
China lands men and women on the moon
NASA sets up permanent moon base
Female professionals pass males in pay
2025 World population reaches 8 billion
Two billion people face water shortages
62 MPG cars introduced
US power fades
2026 Atlantis emerges completely
Rock Bands die out
US debt paid off
Car accidents cease
West coast falls into ocean
2027 Japan introduces new fastest Maglev train
Lyndon Larouche-planned Mars colony is established
Social Security stops running surplus
2028 Tobacco outlawed
40% of coral reefs gone
US debt paid off
Social Security stops running surplus
2029 Social Security trust fund exhausted
Computers pass the Turing test
Aging reversed
Wikipedia reaches 30 Million articles
2030 Half of Amazon rain forest lost to logging
Cancer deaths double from 2008 levels
Arctic ice-free in summer
2031 Computers controlled by thought
Realtors replaced by technology
Social Security trust fund exhausted
2032 "Big One" hits San Francisco
US elects first married lesbian President
Entire world converted to Christianity
2033 Kilimanjaro ice disappears
India becomes superpower
Europe reaches Mars
2034 US diabetes cases double, treatment costs triple
US builds autonomous robot army
2035 80% of America's energy comes from renewable sources
Himalayan glaciers down 80% in size
Arctic sea lane opens
2036 80% of US has access to high-speed rail
Asteroid Apophis misses/hits Earth
2037 Arctic ice-free in September
Social Security trust fund exhausted
2038 32-bit timestamps roll over, causing Y2K-level chaos
"Big One" hits California
2039 US population hits 400 Million
Severe heat waves become commonplace
Scientology becomes majority religion in US
2040 Arctic summers ice-free
Nanotechnology makes humans immortal
2041 Social Security trust fund exhausted
2042
2043 World population passes 9 Billion
2044 Mankind genetically engineered to be happy
Childhood obesity reaches 100%
2045 Humans and machines merge
2046 World's natural resources depleted
2047 World ruled by banks and corporations
Tobacco industry fails
US begins using autonomous attack drones
2048 Salt-water fish extinct from overfishing
Unisex bathing suits cover body from shoulder to ankle
Entire US population overweight
2049 $1.000 computer exceeds computational ability of humanity
Singularity occurs
Fishing industry collapses
2050 80% of Earth's population lives in urban centers
China controls space
Sex with robots possible
Cars banned from European cities
One million species extinct from climate change
2051 Atmosphere escapes into space
2052 Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security spending exceed total US revenue
2053 US budget balanced
Majority of Americans in prison
Cars driven by dogs
2054 Hunger becomes unimaginable global problem
2055 Atmospheric CO2 doubled
Oil runs out
Copper, tin, lead, gold, and nickel all exhausted
2056 RFID-tagged driverless cars
Robots given same rights as humans
2057 150 Japanese settlers on Mars
Colorado River runs dry
2058 Smoking ends in New Zealand
2059 Humans have domesticated robots
2060 Human race lives in peace
Extreme droughts across much of Earth
Global temperature rise reaches 4 °C
Oil runs out again
2061 Halley's comet returns
2062 Uganda hosts World Cup
The Jetsons
2063 First human clones reach adulthood
Population of Moon reaches 100,000
Population of Mars reaches 10,000
Spacecraft exceed speed of light
2064 Clean Air Act finishes reducing haze in national parks to natural levels
2065 Last coral reefs die out
Chernobyl cleanup complete
2066 Cyprus achieves its goal
2067 Americans live in domed cities and watch 3D TV
Redheads go extinct
2068 Ozone hole over Antarctic finishes recovering
Lord Jesus rules Earth from throne in Jerusalem
Entire world population gay due to chemicals in the water
2069 Public masturbation legalized
2070 World population peaks
City-scale flooding disasters
60% of world's energy comes from renewable sources
2071 Europe's temperatures rise by 3 °C
World summer temperatures rise by 5 °C
2072 US retirement age is set to 75
2073 Oceans do not rise one foot
2074 Number of 100-year-olds reaches one million
Supertyphoons hit Japan
2075 US retirement age set to 69
2076 Average scientific paper has more than 24 authors
Social Security trust fund exhausted
2077
2078 Newspapers become obsolete and die out
2079 US debt reaches 716% of GDP
Lodgepole pines disappear from Northwest
Floods commonplace
Religion marginalized
2080 Federal spending reaches 70% of GDP
UK population doubles
2081
2082 World population declines to one billion
2083
2084 Robot policemen introduced
2085 US deficit reaches 62% of GDP
2086
2087
2088 Japan becomes all-robot country
2089 World halts fossil fuel use
2090 Global warming hits 7 °C
Global warming hits 4 °C
2091
2092
2093
2094
2095
2096
2097
2098
2099
2100 Global warming around 5-7 °C
Sea levels have risen by a meter or more
Joshua trees nearly extinct
Earth's climate resembles that of the Cretaceous
Germany tropical
Emperor penguins extinct
Arctic permafrost thaws
Rising seas flood coastal cities
Rain forests mostly gone due to climatic shifts
All coral reefs gone
Gillette introduces 14-bladed razor
2101 WAR WAS BEGINNING
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Discussion

This one slipped under the transcripting radar. I may do it. --Quicksilver (talk) 20:52, 17 August 2013 (UTC)

Do not talk about radars, just do it. The transcript is done right now, but the explain section still does need a big radar!--Dgbrt (talk) 20:20, 18 August 2013 (UTC)

Find the song! I have no idea so far but the repeating phrase "Social security trust fund exhausted" should match a refrain.--Dgbrt (talk) 20:20, 18 August 2013 (UTC)

They now have the dogs driving cars... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWAK0J8Uhzk Let's not wait for 2053.173.245.54.90 21:01, 20 March 2014 (UTC)

Out of curiosity (I'm new to the standards of explainxkcd), are out of date pages considered incomplete? Or is it up to editors to chose when to update a pages explination. I would assume the former, except that would make maintaining the pages significantly more difficult. Also, referencing the Linux takes over. Since Android is now a part of the libux kernel,should thia be changed? It would definently put linux over the 50% mark. Mrmakeit (talk) 05:03, 4 April 2014 (UTC)

Pages can not become out of date, as they refrence the meening of the comic at the time of creation. 108.162.216.209 15:24, 10 December 2014 (UTC)

I would change the 2nd paragraph to say that the entirety of the search results are a super long set-up and "All your base..." is the punch-line. Smperron (talk) 08:46, 10 November 2014 (UTC)

I would correct the entry in 2014 that says that the Taliban are the organisation responsible for the September 11th attacks. The more accurate explanation would be that The US believed Al Qaeda (the real organisation responsible) were hiding out in Afghanistan and that defeating the Taliban, and bringing stability to the country was an important stepping stone towards finding Osama Bin Laden. Of course we now know he was in Pakistan all along, but still that was the original rationale for invading Afghanistan.--141.101.98.192 15:27, 15 December 2014 (UTC)

This further details stuff is wrong about the comic. The lines are just random answers to Google searches. There is no explanation. I move to remove this table, or convert it into links or summaries of the articles in the links. This sucks. It is good enough as it is now without the table (as the table is random and the explanations on the table are incorrect. 108.162.216.209 22:12, 15 December 2014 (UTC)

Let's get to work on the table then. I'm adding suitable references to incomplete sections to aid as jumping off points, from where further expansion can be done on a case-by-case basis. Can you provide some inspiration as to which explanations are most egregiously in need of correction? Pmw57 (talk) 01:44, 8 January 2015 (UTC)

As of 2014 I have noticed that a lot of US sites are moving from html to closed sources such as Adobe so the quote: "The prediction about GNU/Linux Operating Systems is ambiguous" is now fighting through government agencies. Users of Linux trying to access the volcano archive (once supplied by listserv using linux) now have to get access via Windows machines. This has to be the saddest computing news in a long time. Weatherlawyer (talk) 08:19, 4 January 2015 (UTC)

“The prediction about GNU/Linux Operating Systems is ambiguous, as Android (based on Linux) constitutes nearly 50% of the mobile OS market” — GNU/Linux refers to an operating system consisting of the GNU userland toolchain over the Linux kernel. Android is based on Linux but not GNU, therefore, it is irrelevant in GNU/Linux context. 108.162.230.107 11:18, 23 January 2015 (UTC)
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