Editing 2440: Epistemic Uncertainty
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:[In both panels Megan stands in front of a data presentation on a slide behind her. She is pointing at the slide with a stick.] | :[In both panels Megan stands in front of a data presentation on a slide behind her. She is pointing at the slide with a stick.] | ||
− | :[In the left panel titled 'Regular Uncertainty'. Megan standing in front of a presentation of a graph showing, | + | :[In the left panel titled 'Regular Uncertainty'. Megan standing in front of a presentation of a graph showing data in a horizontal scatter plot, and above that the percentage 74% depicted with horizontal error bars.] |
:Megan: Our study found the drug was 74% effective, with a confidence interval from 63% to 81%. | :Megan: Our study found the drug was 74% effective, with a confidence interval from 63% to 81%. | ||
:74% | :74% | ||
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:Megan: Our study found the drug to be 74% effective. | :Megan: Our study found the drug to be 74% effective. | ||
:Megan: However, there is a 1 in 4 chance that our study was modified by George the Data Tamperer, whose whims are unpredictable. | :Megan: However, there is a 1 in 4 chance that our study was modified by George the Data Tamperer, whose whims are unpredictable. | ||
− | :73 -> 74?? | + | :73 -> 74%?? |
− | :47 -> 74?? | + | :47 -> 74%?? |
− | :0 -> 74 | + | :0 -> 74%? |
:? | :? | ||