Talk:1282: Monty Hall

Explain xkcd: It's 'cause you're dumb.
Revision as of 04:58, 25 October 2013 by (talk)
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Monty hall. Is this a Monty Python reference? Or something related to a skit of theirs'? --Commarchinin (talk) 04:18, 25 October 2013 (UTC)

I don't understand "It is known that door 3 has a goat, but nothing else." What do you mean by that? At the beginning in the Monty Hall problem, a contestant knows nothing. -- 04:27, 25 October 2013 (UTC)

It goes like this: Player chooses door A, Monty then opens a door he knows there is a goat behind. Player is then offered a chance to switch.

If you do not switch you get a 1/3rd chance of winning because it was a 1 in 3 guess and nothing changed. But if you take into account that Monty will ALWAYS open a goat door and never a car door you can recalculate the odds. So you have a 1/3rd chance that you initially chose the car which means you will lose if you switch 1/3rd of the time, but you had a 2/3rd chance of not selecting the car initially meaning you have a 2/3rds chance if you switch at winning the car. 04:58, 25 October 2013 (UTC)