Editing Talk:1053: Ten Thousand
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The 30 comes from the assumption that roughly 100% of people learn the "something" by age 30. You do not have a 1/30 chance of learning the cure to cancer this year, because there is not 100% chance of you knowing the cure to cancer by age 30. [[Special:Contributions/108.162.241.118|108.162.241.118]] 19:50, 2 March 2017 (UTC) | The 30 comes from the assumption that roughly 100% of people learn the "something" by age 30. You do not have a 1/30 chance of learning the cure to cancer this year, because there is not 100% chance of you knowing the cure to cancer by age 30. [[Special:Contributions/108.162.241.118|108.162.241.118]] 19:50, 2 March 2017 (UTC) | ||
− | I had the chance to watch Star Wars prequel with someone who did not know who was Darth Vader, the shock was amazing in Revenge of the Sith. I wish everyone can discover that plot twist! Zyramere | + | I had the chance to watch Star Wars prequel with someone who did not know who was Darth Vader, the shock was amazing in Revenge of the Sith. I wish everyone can discover that plot twist! Zyramere |
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+ | ~ | ||
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+ | POPULATION | ||
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+ | 4,000,000 People born yearly | ||
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x 30 Everyone "IT" knows by what age (yrs) | x 30 Everyone "IT" knows by what age (yrs) | ||
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= | = | ||
− | 120,000,000 EQUALS Number of people born in 30 years who will learn "IT" at some point | + | |
+ | 120,000,000 EQUALS Number of people born in 30 years who will learn "IT" at some point | ||
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ODDS | ODDS | ||
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x 0.033333333 Odds you'll know "IT" this year (1/yrs, in this case, 1 in 30) | x 0.033333333 Odds you'll know "IT" this year (1/yrs, in this case, 1 in 30) | ||
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x 0.002739726 Odds you'll know "IT" this day (1/365 days in a year) | x 0.002739726 Odds you'll know "IT" this day (1/365 days in a year) | ||
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= | = | ||
− | 10,959 Segment of population who will learn "IT" today. | + | 10,959 Segment of population who will learn "IT" today. |
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− | + | NOT 10k? |