Editing Talk:2892: Banana Prices
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> 5. ignoring historical norms and high variability in making future predictions | > 5. ignoring historical norms and high variability in making future predictions | ||
− | What historical norms are being ignored here exactly? Long-run inflation is fairly stable | + | What historical norms are being ignored here exactly? Long-run inflation is fairly stable. |
> 6. articulating multiple potential scenarios that are actually highly correlated with each other. | > 6. articulating multiple potential scenarios that are actually highly correlated with each other. | ||
− | idk can anyone find a quote from | + | idk can anyone find a quote from the statistical Bible to support the idea this is a sin? Obviously there are problems. But to my mind, showing that multiple models converge on an approximate answer is a very good way to test convergent validity of a prediction. |
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So maybe 1 or 2 of the sins alleged are real, imo. [[User:NZUlysses|NZUlysses]] ([[User talk:NZUlysses|talk]]) 17:22, 10 February 2024 (UTC) | So maybe 1 or 2 of the sins alleged are real, imo. [[User:NZUlysses|NZUlysses]] ([[User talk:NZUlysses|talk]]) 17:22, 10 February 2024 (UTC) |