Difference between revisions of "Talk:881: Probability"

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Can anyone please provide an update to this page on Randall's fiance's health? Apologies if this is common knowledge.  
 
Can anyone please provide an update to this page on Randall's fiance's health? Apologies if this is common knowledge.  
I agree with John's reaction.  I wanted a better number for my wife back in the spring of 2008, and got it.  She survived 3 years instead of the (then) predicted average of six months for inflammatory breast cancer.  We could have been just an outlier on the low probability end of the curve, but I like to think the medical community is continually improving their curves, and I am very grateful for the extra time.
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I agree with John's reaction.  I wanted a better number for my wife back in the spring of 2008, and got it.  She survived 3 years instead of the (then) predicted average of six months for inflammatory breast cancer.  We could have been just an outlier on the low probability end of the curve, but I like to think the medical community is continually improving their curves, and I am very grateful for the extra time. She passed away four days after this strip was posted - which explains why I haven't seen this strip until now.
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[[Special:Contributions/108.162.216.228|108.162.216.228]] 21:26, 28 November 2013 (UTC)Grant
 
[[Special:Contributions/108.162.216.228|108.162.216.228]] 21:26, 28 November 2013 (UTC)Grant
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So, how is this incomplete? Can we remove the incompleteness mark? --[[Special:Contributions/173.245.53.196|173.245.53.196]] 13:02, 19 January 2014 (UTC)
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I think the linking to the blog post is more sensitive than explaining it here. Remove tag? --[[Special:Contributions/141.101.98.207|141.101.98.207]] 14:19, 19 January 2014 (UTC)
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What is the dashed line?  It kind of looks like it might be the derivative of the solid line.[[Special:Contributions/108.162.214.53|108.162.214.53]] 00:39, 20 January 2014 (UTC)
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I think I explained the dashed line, it's a hazard function or at least it would be a plausible hazard function for that kind of survival function. Feel free to improve the formatting or remove the incomplete tag. --[[User:Artod|Artod]] ([[User talk:Artod|talk]]) 07:06, 20 January 2014 (UTC)
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TEN YEARS [[Special:Contributions/172.69.33.179|172.69.33.179]] 17:38, 17 November 2020 (UTC)

Latest revision as of 17:38, 17 November 2020

I've been through this, even though it was a little over a year ago, this strip brings me back to how I tried to rationalise the probabilities to deal with the news, and the only thing I could think of was "I want a better number, god, noodle-monster, anybody, please, give me a better number".

John 60.225.31.6 00:40, 28 September 2013 (UTC)

Can anyone please provide an update to this page on Randall's fiance's health? Apologies if this is common knowledge. I agree with John's reaction. I wanted a better number for my wife back in the spring of 2008, and got it. She survived 3 years instead of the (then) predicted average of six months for inflammatory breast cancer. We could have been just an outlier on the low probability end of the curve, but I like to think the medical community is continually improving their curves, and I am very grateful for the extra time. She passed away four days after this strip was posted - which explains why I haven't seen this strip until now.

108.162.216.228 21:26, 28 November 2013 (UTC)Grant

So, how is this incomplete? Can we remove the incompleteness mark? --173.245.53.196 13:02, 19 January 2014 (UTC)

I think the linking to the blog post is more sensitive than explaining it here. Remove tag? --141.101.98.207 14:19, 19 January 2014 (UTC)


What is the dashed line? It kind of looks like it might be the derivative of the solid line.108.162.214.53 00:39, 20 January 2014 (UTC)

I think I explained the dashed line, it's a hazard function or at least it would be a plausible hazard function for that kind of survival function. Feel free to improve the formatting or remove the incomplete tag. --Artod (talk) 07:06, 20 January 2014 (UTC)

TEN YEARS 172.69.33.179 17:38, 17 November 2020 (UTC)