Editing 2092: Consensus New Year
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==Explanation== | ==Explanation== | ||
+ | {{incomplete|Created by a BOT. Please complete this explanation once everyone has entered the new year. Do NOT delete this tag too soon.}} | ||
In this [[:Category:New Year|New Year comic]], [[Randall]] is proposing a compromise for when to celebrate, or recognize, {{w|New Year's Day}}. These celebrations traditionally take place at the stroke of midnight between Dec. 31st and Jan. 1st, at the local time of the event's location. With "Consensus New Year", these celebrations would happen at the same time, world over, and would be at exactly 1:30 pm {{w|Eastern Time Zone|EST}} (6:30 pm {{w|Coordinated Universal Time|UTC}}). At this time, about half the world's population would be in 2018 local time and the other half would be in 2019. This is due to the various time zones throughout the world, and the graph is based on the proportion of the population in these zones. | In this [[:Category:New Year|New Year comic]], [[Randall]] is proposing a compromise for when to celebrate, or recognize, {{w|New Year's Day}}. These celebrations traditionally take place at the stroke of midnight between Dec. 31st and Jan. 1st, at the local time of the event's location. With "Consensus New Year", these celebrations would happen at the same time, world over, and would be at exactly 1:30 pm {{w|Eastern Time Zone|EST}} (6:30 pm {{w|Coordinated Universal Time|UTC}}). At this time, about half the world's population would be in 2018 local time and the other half would be in 2019. This is due to the various time zones throughout the world, and the graph is based on the proportion of the population in these zones. | ||
− | This is based on the assumption that the entire world uses the same calendar system. Randall's graph shows the year starting on the same day for the entire world. While the Gregorian calendar is used as the civil calendar in most countries of the world, the Eastern Orthodox churches uses the Julian calendar, on which the year will begin 13 days later, and the year (as of December 2018-January | + | This is based on the assumption that the entire world uses the same calendar system. Randall's graph shows the year starting on the same day for the entire world. While the Gregorian calendar is used as the civil calendar in most countries of the world, the Eastern Orthodox churches uses the Julian calendar, on which the year will begin 13 days later, and the year (as of December 2018-January 2018) is 1440 on the Muslim calendar and 5779 on the Hebrew calendar. |
− | + | Randall abused the word "consensus" in this comic, reflecting the common misuse of the term {{Wikipedia|consensus}} for the common practice of {{Wikipedia|majority vote}}. | |
− | + | In scenarios involving group decision-making, consensus means that all or almost all members of the group will accept the decision. Depending on how it is done, this generally results in a slower decision-making process due to discussion, but decisions that many more people are happy with. Consensus can scale to large groups of people using approaches such as the [https://seedsforchange.org.uk/spokescouncil spokescouncil model] to speed dialogue. By this definition, Consensus New Year happens at one of the last four time zones as the last to "agree" enter 2019, so (nearly full consensus definition) 4:00 am, 5:00 am, 6:00 am, or (full consensus definition) 7:00 am EST on January 1, 2019. | |
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− | + | Consensus lies in contrast to majority vote, where a decision passes when over 50% of the people desire it. Majority vote is used in most current large democracies and is what most people are familiar with. It is quick to describe and implement, but can result in a stark lack of minority rights unless tempered by constitutions and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logrolling logrolling]. | |
− | + | It is also possible that Randall is using "{{Wiktionary|consensus}}" in its statistical sense, where it indicates the average projected value of a metric. | |
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The leftmost horizontal axis label (10am EST Dec 31st) was an error. The point marked as 0% should be 5am EST (see table below). | The leftmost horizontal axis label (10am EST Dec 31st) was an error. The point marked as 0% should be 5am EST (see table below). | ||
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| 5:00 AM || 10:00 || 0 || Pacific Islands | | 5:00 AM || 10:00 || 0 || Pacific Islands | ||
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− | | 6:00 AM || 11:00 || 0 || Pacific Islands | + | | 6:00 AM || 11:00 || 0 || Pacific Islands |
|- | |- | ||
− | | 7:00 AM || 12:00 || 0 || Kamchatka (Russia), Fiji | + | | 7:00 AM || 12:00 || 0 || Kamchatka (Russia), Fiji, New Zealand |
|- | |- | ||
− | | 8:00 AM || 13:00 || 0 || Magadan (Russia), Pacific Islands | + | | 8:00 AM || 13:00 || 0 || Magadan (Russia), Pacific Islands |
− | |||
− | |||
|- | |- | ||
| 9:00 AM || 14:00 || 0 || Vladivostok (Russia), Queensland (Australia) | | 9:00 AM || 14:00 || 0 || Vladivostok (Russia), Queensland (Australia) | ||
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− | |||
|- | |- | ||
| 10:00 AM || 15:00 || 5 || Yakutsk (Russia), Japan, Korea, Eastern Indonesia | | 10:00 AM || 15:00 || 5 || Yakutsk (Russia), Japan, Korea, Eastern Indonesia | ||
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− | | 11:00 AM || 16:00 || 25 || China, Irkutsk (Russia), Taiwan, Western Australia, Malaysia | + | | 11:00 AM || 16:00 || 25 || China, Irkutsk (Russia), Taiwan, Western Australia, Malaysia |
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− | | 12:00 PM || 17:00 || 30 || Krasnoyarsk (Russia), Vietnam, Thailand | + | | 12:00 PM || 17:00 || 30 || Krasnoyarsk (Russia), Vietnam, Thailand |
|- | |- | ||
| 1:00 PM || 18:00 || 35 || Omsk (Russia), Kazakhstan, Bangladesh | | 1:00 PM || 18:00 || 35 || Omsk (Russia), Kazakhstan, Bangladesh | ||
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| 7:00 PM || 00:00 || 90 || (GMT) UK and Crown Dependencies, Western EU/EEA<!-- thats Portugal, Ireland, Azores, Canaries, Faroes, Iceland -->, Northeast Greenland, Western Africa | | 7:00 PM || 00:00 || 90 || (GMT) UK and Crown Dependencies, Western EU/EEA<!-- thats Portugal, Ireland, Azores, Canaries, Faroes, Iceland -->, Northeast Greenland, Western Africa | ||
|- | |- | ||
− | | 8:00 PM || 01:00 || 90 || | + | | 8:00 PM || 01:00 || 90 || |
|- | |- | ||
− | | 9:00 PM || 02:00 || 90 || | + | | 9:00 PM || 02:00 || 90 || |
|- | |- | ||
− | | 10:00 PM || 03:00 || 90 || | + | | 10:00 PM || 03:00 || 90 || Northern Brazil, Argentina |
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| 11:00 PM || 04:00 || 90 || Atlantic Canada, Venezuela | | 11:00 PM || 04:00 || 90 || Atlantic Canada, Venezuela | ||
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− | | 12:00 AM || 05:00 || 95 || (EST) Eastern USA, Peru | + | | 12:00 AM || 05:00 || 95 || (EST) Eastern USA, Peru, Chile |
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| 1:00 AM || 06:00 || 100 || (CT) Central USA, Mexico, Central America | | 1:00 AM || 06:00 || 100 || (CT) Central USA, Mexico, Central America |