Editing 2379: Probability Comparisons
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0.2% You draw 2 random Scrabble tiles and get M and M | 0.2% You draw 2 random Scrabble tiles and get M and M | ||
− | + | You draw 3 random M&Ms and they're all red | |
− | You draw 3 random M&Ms and they're all red | ||
0.3% You guess someone's birthday in one try. | 0.3% You guess someone's birthday in one try. | ||
0.5% An NBA team down by 30 at halftime wins | 0.5% An NBA team down by 30 at halftime wins | ||
− | + | You get 4 M&Ms and they're all brown or yellow | |
− | You get 4 M&Ms and they're all brown or yellow | ||
1% Steph Curry gets two free throws and misses both | 1% Steph Curry gets two free throws and misses both | ||
− | + | LeBron James guesses your birthday, if each guess costs one free throw and he loses if he misses | |
− | LeBron James guesses your birthday, if each guess costs one free throw and he loses if he misses | ||
1.5% You get two M&Ms and they're both red | 1.5% You get two M&Ms and they're both red | ||
− | + | You share a birthday with a Backstreet Boy | |
− | You share a birthday with a Backstreet Boy | ||
2% You guess someone's card on the first try | 2% You guess someone's card on the first try | ||
3% You guess 5 coin tosses and get them all right | 3% You guess 5 coin tosses and get them all right | ||
− | + | Steph Curry wins that birthday free throw game | |
− | Steph Curry wins that birthday free throw game | ||
4% You sweep a 3-game rock paper scissors series | 4% You sweep a 3-game rock paper scissors series | ||
− | + | Portland, Oregon has a white Christmas | |
− | Portland, Oregon has a white Christmas | + | You share a birthday with two US Senators |
− | |||
− | You share a birthday with two US Senators | ||
5% An NBA team down 20 at halftime wins | 5% An NBA team down 20 at halftime wins | ||
− | + | You roll a natural 20 | |
− | You roll a natural 20 | ||
6% You correctly guess someone's card given 3 tries | 6% You correctly guess someone's card given 3 tries | ||
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10% You draw 5 cards and get the Ace of Spades | 10% You draw 5 cards and get the Ace of Spades | ||
− | + | There's a magnitude 8+ earthquake in the next month | |
− | There's a magnitude 8+ earthquake in the next month | ||
11% You sweep a 2-game rock paper scissors series | 11% You sweep a 2-game rock paper scissors series | ||
12% A randomly-chosen American lives in California | 12% A randomly-chosen American lives in California | ||
− | + | You correctly guess someone's card given 6 tries | |
− | You correctly guess someone's card given 6 tries | + | You share a birthday with a US President |
− | |||
− | You share a birthday with a US President | ||
13% A d6 beats a d20 | 13% A d6 beats a d20 | ||
− | + | An NBA team down 10 going into the 4th quarter wins | |
− | An NBA team down 10 going into the 4th quarter wins | + | You pull one M&M from a bag and it's red |
− | |||
− | You pull one M&M from a bag and it's red | ||
14% A randomly drawn scrabble tile beats a d6 die roll | 14% A randomly drawn scrabble tile beats a d6 die roll | ||
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23% You get an M&M and it's blue | 23% You get an M&M and it's blue | ||
− | + | You share a birthday with a US senator | |
− | You share a birthday with a US senator | ||
24% You correctly guess that someone was born in the winter | 24% You correctly guess that someone was born in the winter | ||
25% You correctly guess that someone was born in the fall | 25% You correctly guess that someone was born in the fall | ||
− | + | You roll two plain M&Ms and get M and M. | |
− | You roll two plain M&Ms and get M and M. | ||
26% You correctly guess someone was born in the summer | 26% You correctly guess someone was born in the summer | ||
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33% A randomly chosen Star Wars movie (Episodes I-IX) has "of the" in the title | 33% A randomly chosen Star Wars movie (Episodes I-IX) has "of the" in the title | ||
− | + | You win the Monty Hall sports car by picking a door and refusing to switch | |
− | You win the Monty Hall sports car by picking a door and refusing to switch | + | You win rock paper scissors by picking randomly |
− | |||
− | You win rock paper scissors by picking randomly | ||
34% You draw five cards and get an ace | 34% You draw five cards and get an ace | ||
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48% Milwaukee has a white Christmas | 48% Milwaukee has a white Christmas | ||
− | + | A random Scrabble tile is a letter in Carly Rae Jepsen | |
− | A random Scrabble tile is a letter in Carly Rae Jepsen | ||
50% You get heads in a coin toss | 50% You get heads in a coin toss | ||
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87% An NBA team up by 10 going into the 4<sup>th</sup> quarter wins | 87% An NBA team up by 10 going into the 4<sup>th</sup> quarter wins | ||
− | + | Someone fails to guess your card given 7 tries | |
− | Someone fails to guess your card given 7 tries | ||
88% A randomly chosen American lives outside California | 88% A randomly chosen American lives outside California | ||
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91% You incorrectly guess that someone was born in August | 91% You incorrectly guess that someone was born in August | ||
− | Steph Curry makes a free throw | + | Steph Curry makes a free throw |
92% You guess someone's birth month at random and are wrong | 92% You guess someone's birth month at random and are wrong |