Editing 2379: Probability Comparisons
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| {{w|LeBron James}} guesses your birthday, if each guess costs one free throw and he loses if he misses | | {{w|LeBron James}} guesses your birthday, if each guess costs one free throw and he loses if he misses | ||
− | | LeBron James' free-throw odds are ~73% . The odds of him winning on the first round are 1/365, for the second | + | | LeBron James' free-throw odds are ~73% . The odds of him winning on the first round are 1/365, for the second (1/364)(0.73), for the third (1/363)(0.73)<sup>2</sup>... Summing all of these from 1 to 365 gives us his total odds of winning at any point in the game are ≈ 1.022% . |
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| rowspan="2" | 1.5% | | rowspan="2" | 1.5% | ||
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| Steph Curry wins that birthday free throw game | | Steph Curry wins that birthday free throw game | ||
− | | Swap out 0.73 for 0.91 in the above calculations to find Steph Curry's odds of winning. This sum yields ~3. | + | | Swap out 0.73 for 0.91 in the above calculations to find Steph Curry's odds of winning. This sum yields ~3.13% . |
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| rowspan="3"| 4% | | rowspan="3"| 4% |