Talk:795: Conditional Risk
"I'm not American! So my risk is basically zero!"
Is the risk to Americans so low because lightning concentrates on non-Americans?
The line 'The annual death rate among people who know that statistic is one in six' clearly points out that the people who know the statistic tend to be dismissive about the danger of the lightning strikes and put themselves in danger. Even though the statistic is probably invented by the author, shouldn't it go in the explanation?
I did not want to change the explanation without a discussion. (PS: I am a newbie here)
This comic has been cited to illustrate the confusion of base vs conditional probability in Steven Pinker's new book [“Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters.”] --Agovita (talk) 11:17, 19 October 2021 (UTC)