Difference between revisions of "Talk:795: Conditional Risk"
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| − | The line 'The annual death rate among people who know that statistic is one in six' clearly points out that the people who know the statistic tend to be dismissive about the danger of the lightning strikes and put themselves in danger. Even though | + | The line 'The annual death rate among people who know that statistic is one in six' clearly points out that the people who know the statistic tend to be dismissive about the danger of the lightning strikes and put themselves in danger. Even though the statistic is probably invented by the author, shouldn't it go in the explanation? |
I did not want to change the explanation without a discussion. (PS: I am a newbie here) | I did not want to change the explanation without a discussion. (PS: I am a newbie here) | ||
| − | [[User:A2658742|A2658742]] ([[User talk:A2658742|talk]]) 10: | + | [[User:A2658742|A2658742]] ([[User talk:A2658742|talk]]) 10:44, 10 April 2015 (UTC)a2658742 |
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| + | I'd like to point out that the "invented one in six statistic" is a roll of the dice. {{unsigned ip|162.158.90.161}} | ||
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| + | 1 in 6 is also the probability of shooting yourself in (classic) russian roulette. | ||
| + | [[User:Siv3nIvy|Siv3nIvy]] ([[User talk:Siv3nIvy|talk]]) 11:41, 8 September 2016 (UTC) | ||
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| + | This comic has been cited to illustrate the confusion of base vs conditional probability in Steven Pinker's new book [[https://books.google.com/books?id=aKIdEAAAQBAJ&lpg=PT85&ots=xxmg9CxrPO&dq=pinker%20xkcd%20lightning&pg=PT85#v=onepage&q=pinker%20xkcd%20lightning&f=false “Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters.”]] --[[User:Agovita|Agovita]] ([[User talk:Agovita|talk]]) 11:17, 19 October 2021 (UTC) | ||
Latest revision as of 11:17, 19 October 2021
"I'm not American! So my risk is basically zero!"
Is the risk to Americans so low because lightning concentrates on non-Americans?
I used Google News BEFORE it was clickbait (talk) 15:42, 26 January 2015 (UTC)
The line 'The annual death rate among people who know that statistic is one in six' clearly points out that the people who know the statistic tend to be dismissive about the danger of the lightning strikes and put themselves in danger. Even though the statistic is probably invented by the author, shouldn't it go in the explanation?
I did not want to change the explanation without a discussion. (PS: I am a newbie here)
A2658742 (talk) 10:44, 10 April 2015 (UTC)a2658742
I'd like to point out that the "invented one in six statistic" is a roll of the dice. 162.158.90.161 (talk) (please sign your comments with ~~~~)
1 in 6 is also the probability of shooting yourself in (classic) russian roulette. Siv3nIvy (talk) 11:41, 8 September 2016 (UTC)
This comic has been cited to illustrate the confusion of base vs conditional probability in Steven Pinker's new book [“Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters.”] --Agovita (talk) 11:17, 19 October 2021 (UTC)
